The efficacy of multi-disciplinary lifestyle modifications in Taiwanese nonalcoholic steatohepatitis patients.

Lifestyle modification is the standard of care for nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) patients. We aimed to investigate the efficacy of a short-term lifestyle modification program in the disease course of Taiwanese nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) patients with paired biopsies. All patients received a 6-month, strict multidisciplinary program of lifestyle modifications led by physicians, dieticians, and nursing staff. The histopathological and clinical features were assessed. The endpoints were normalization of transaminase levels, metabolic parameters, a decrease in the NAFLD activity score (NAS) ≥1, and a decrease in the fibrosis stage ≥1. We also aimed to elucidate the predictors associated with disease progression. A total of 37 patients with biopsy-proven NASH were enrolled. The normalization of transaminase levels increased from 0% to 13.5%. There were also significantly increased proportions of patients with normal total cholesterol, triglyceride, and hemoglobin A1c levels. Fifteen (40.5%) patients had an increased NAS ≥1, whereas 10 (27.0%) patients had NAS regression. Twelve (32.4%) patients had increased fibrosis ≥1 stage. Only 2 (5.4%) patients experienced fibrosis regression. A high fasting plasma glucose (FPG) level was associated with NAS progression. Older age and higher transaminase and FPG levels were factors associated with fibrosis progression. Seven (18.9%) patients achieved a body weight reduction >3%, and 4 (57.1%) of them experienced NAS regression. No significant effect of weight reduction on the progression of fibrosis was observed. The short-term lifestyle modification program significantly decreased liver enzymes and metabolic parameters in NASH patients. A more precise or intensive program may be needed for fibrosis improvement.

Accelerating Progress Towards the 2030 Neglected Tropical Diseases Targets: How Can Quantitative Modeling Support Programmatic Decisions?

Over the past decade, considerable progress has been made in the control, elimination, and eradication of neglected tropical diseases (NTDs). Despite these advances, most NTD programs have recently experienced important setbacks; for example, NTD interventions were some of the most frequently and severely impacted by service disruptions due to the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. Mathematical modeling can help inform selection of interventions to meet the targets set out in the NTD road map 2021-2030, and such studies should prioritize questions that are relevant for decision-makers, especially those designing, implementing, and evaluating national and subnational programs. In September 2022, the World Health Organization hosted a stakeholder meeting to identify such priority modeling questions across a range of NTDs and to consider how modeling could inform local decision making. Here, we summarize the outputs of the meeting, highlight common themes in the questions being asked, and discuss how quantitative modeling can support programmatic decisions that may accelerate progress towards the 2030 targets.

Third vaccine boosters and anti-S-IgG levels: A comparison of homologous and heterologous responses and poor immunogenicity in hepatocellular carcinoma.

The immune response of patients with chronic liver disease tends to be lower after receiving their second coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccine dose, but the effect of a third vaccine dose on their immune response is currently unknown. We recruited 722 patients without previous severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection from three hospitals. The patients received homologous (MMM) and heterologous (AZAZBNT, AZAZM) boosters, where AZ, BNT, and M denoted the AZD1222, BNT162b2, and mRNA-1273 vaccines, respectively. Serum IgG spike antibody levels were measured at a mean 1.5 ± 0.7 (visit 1) and 5.0 ± 0.5 (visit 2) months after the third vaccine booster. A threshold of 4160 AU/mL was considered significant antibody activity. In both visits, the patients who received the MMM booster had higher anti-S-IgG levels than those who received the AZAZBNT and AZAZM boosters. Patients with active hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) had lower anti-S-IgG levels than the control group (761.6 vs. 1498.2 BAU/mL; p = 0.019) at visit 1. The anti-S-IgG levels decreased significantly at visit 2. The patients with significant antibody activity had a lower rate of liver cirrhosis with decompensation (0.7% decompensation vs. 8.0% non-decompensation and 91.3% non-liver cirrhosis, p = 0.015), and active HCC (1.5% active HCC vs. 3.7% non-active HCC and 94.7% non-HCC, p < 0.001). Receiving the MMM booster regimen (OR = 10.67, 95% CI 5.20-21.91, p < 0.001) increased the odds of having significant antibody activity compared with the AZAZBNT booster regimen. Patients with active HCC had a reduced immune response to the third COVID-19 vaccine booster. These findings underscore the importance of booster vaccinations, especially in immunocompromised patients, with superior efficacy observed with the homologous mRNA-1273 regimen.

Patient-centered and integrated outreach care for chronic hepatitis C patients with serious mental illness in Taiwan.

Patients with serious mental illness have a higher risk of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection but suboptimal HCV care. The current study aimed to facilitate HCV treatment uptake by implementing an integrated outreach care model. Multidisciplinary outreach screening followed by HCV reflex testing and onsite treatment for schizophrenia patients was accomplished through the coordination of nongovernmental organizations, remote specialists, and local care providers. The objective was microelimination effectiveness, defined as the multiplication of the rates of anti-HCV antibodies screening, accurate HCV RNA diagnosis, treatment allocation, treatment completion, and sustained virological response (SVR12; no detectable HCV RNA throughout 12 weeks in the post-treatment follow-up period). A total of 1478 of the 2300 (64.3%) psychiatric patients received HCV mass screening. Seventy-three (4.9%) individuals were seropositive for anti-HCV antibodies. Of the 73 anti-HCV seropositive patients, all (100%) received HCV reflex testing, and 29 (37.7%) patients had HCV viremia. Eight patients (34.8%) had advanced liver disease, including 3 with liver cirrhosis and 2 with newly diagnosed hepatocellular carcinoma. Twenty-three of the 24 (95.8%) patients who stayed in the healthcare system received and completed 8 weeks of glecaprevir/pibrentasvir treatment and post-treatment follow-up without significant DDIs or adverse events. The SVR12 rate was 100%. The microelimination effectiveness in the current study was 61.6%. Individuals with serious mental illness are underserved and suffer from diagnostic delays. This patient-centered and integrated outreach program facilitated HCV care in this marginalized population.

The interplay of metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease and viral hepatitis on liver disease severity: A large community-based study in a viral endemic area.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: The prevalence of metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) and its interplay with hepatitis B virus (HBV) and hepatitis C virus (HCV) in terms of liver disease severity is elusive. METHODS: A mass surveillance program was conducted in a viral hepatitis endemic area. The objective was to identify MAFLD/non-MAFLD subjects with advanced liver disease. RESULTS: Two thousand two hundred and forty-two (41.7%) of the 5378 subjects were identified as having MAFLD, and 375 (7.0%) had advanced liver disease. The proportions of anti-HCV and HBsAg seropositivity were 19.3% and 9.7%, respectively. The proportions of advanced fibrosis in subjects with non-viral hepatitis (NBNC), HBV and HCV infection were 2.8%, 5.7% and 23.4%, respectively. Subjects with MAFLD had a significantly higher proportion of advanced fibrosis (8.7% vs 5.7%, P < 0.001). Factors associated with advanced fibrosis included age (odds ratio [OR]/95% confidence interval [CI]: 4.8/3.7-6.0, P < 0.001), male sex (OR/CI: 1.3/1.0-1.7, P = 0.019), anti-HCV seropositivity (OR/CI: 5.9/4.6-7.5, P = 0.019), MAFLD-lean metabolic dysregulation (MS) (OR/CI: 2.6/1.3-5.2, P = 0.005; compared with the non-MAFLD group) and MAFLD-diabetes (OR/CI: 1.5/1.1-2.1, P = 0.008; compared with the non-MAFLD group). MAFLD did not aggravate liver disease severity in patients with viral hepatitis. However, among NBNC subjects, factors associated with advanced liver disease included MAFLD-lean MS group (OR/CI: 9.1/2.4-34.6, P = 0.001; compared with non-MAFLD group) and MAFLD-DM group (OR/CI: 2.0/1.2-3.2, P = 0.004; compared with non-MAFLD group). CONCLUSIONS: MAFLD patients with diabetes and metabolic dysregulation had a higher risk of advanced liver disease. The effect was more significant in non-viral hepatitis subjects in a community level.

Therapy as prevention toward HCV elimination in maintenance hemodialysis: a multi-center, prospective cohort study.

Background: The World Health Organization has established interim guidance for hepatitis C virus (HCV) elimination. We aimed to prove the concept of "treatment as prevention" by conducting a prospective HCV elimination program for hemodialysis (HD) patients. Methods: A universal HCV screen was launched in 22 HD centers in 2019. HCV-viremic patients were linked to care with direct-acting antivirals (DAAs). The second screen was performed in 2021 to evaluate the effect of link-to-care in lowering the prevalence of HCV viremia and the incidence of HCV new/re-infections. Results: Of 2336 patients enrolled in the first screening in 2019, 320 (13.7%) were seropositive for anti-HCV and 181 (7.7%) were HCV-viremic. Of 152 patients successfully linked to treat with DAA, 140 (92.1%) patients achieved a sustained virological response. Of them, 1733 patients participated in the second surveillance. Five anti-HCV-negative patients experienced anti-HCV seroconversion. Of 119 DAA-cured patients and 102 spontaneous HCV clearance patients, none had HCV reinfection. The annual incidence of HCV new infection was 0.1%. Sixty-one of the 620 (9.8%) newly enrolled patients were anti-HCV-seropositive in the second survey. The overall HCV-viremic rate decreased from 7.7% in 2019 to 0.6% (15/2353) in 2021. At the institutional level, 45.5% (10/22) eradicated HCV and 82% (18/22) of HD units had no HCV new infections or reinfections. Conclusions: The link-to-care project proved the concept of "treatment as prevention" by which HCV microelimination helps to prevent reinfection and new infections in the HD population.Trial registration: ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT03803410 and NCT03891550.

Unawareness of hepatitis B infection and lack of surveillance are associated with severity of hepatocellular carcinoma.

Unawareness of hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection and lack of surveillance may serve as major barriers to HBV control and contributors to severe hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) at presentation. This study evaluated the risk of HBV unawareness and its relationship with HCC severity. This retrospective study was conducted in a tertiary hospital in Taiwan. Patients with HBV-related HCC diagnosed from 2011 to 2021 were enrolled. The demographic, clinical, and HCC characteristics were collected and compared between patients with HBV unawareness and awareness with and without surveillance. Of 501 HBV-related HCC patients enrolled, 105 (21%) patients were unaware of HBV infection at the time of HCC diagnosis. Patients with HBV unawareness were significantly younger and had poorer liver function than those with HBV awareness. Patients with HBV unawareness also had a significantly higher rate of detectable HBV DNA and an advanced stage of HCC. Ninety-one (23%) of the HBV-aware patients did not receive regular surveillance. Patients with HBV unawareness and awareness without surveillance shared similar clinical characteristics with more severe HCC status. Further regression analysis demonstrated that HBV awareness with periodic surveillance was associated with early stage HCC. Meanwhile, we observed that there was no change in the proportion of HBV awareness over the past 10 years. Patients with surveillance also had better HCC survival than patients without surveillance or unawareness. HBV unawareness and lack of regular surveillance correlated with advanced HCC at presentation. Efforts to improve HBV education, disease awareness, and HCC surveillance are needed.

Community-centered Disease Severity Assessment of Metabolic Dysfunction-associated Fatty Liver Disease.

Background and Aims: Disease severity across the different diagnostic categories of metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) remains elusive. This study assessed the fibrosis stages and features of MAFLD between different items. We also aimed to investigate the associations between advanced fibrosis and risk factors. Methods: This multicenter cross-sectional study enrolled adults participating in liver disease screening in the community. Patients were stratified following MAFLD diagnostic criteria, to group A (395 patients) for type 2 diabetes, group B (1,818 patients) for body mass index (BMI)>23 kg/m2, and group C (44 patients) for BMI≤23 kg/m2 with at least two metabolic factors. Advanced fibrosis was defined as a fibrosis-4 index>2.67. Results: Between 2009 and 2020, 1,948 MAFLD patients were recruited, including 478 with concomitant liver diseases. Advanced fibrosis was observed in 125 patients. A significantly larger proportion of patients in group C (25.0%) than in group A (7.6%) and group B (5.8%) had advanced fibrosis (p<0.01). Logistic regression analysis found that hepatitis B virus (HBV)/hepatitis C virus (HCV) coinfection (odds ratio [OR]: 12.14, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 4.04-36.52; p<0.01), HCV infection (OR: 7.87, 95% CI: 4.78-12.97; p<0.01), group C (OR: 6.00, 95% CI: 2.53-14.22; p<0.01), and TC/LDL-C (OR: 1.21, 95% CI: 1.06-1.38; p<0.01) were significant predictors of advanced fibrosis. Conclusions: A higher proportion of lean MAFLD patients with metabolic abnormalities had advanced fibrosis. HCV infection was significantly associated with advanced fibrosis.

Polymer Nanoparticles Applied in the CMP (Chemical Mechanical Polishing) Process of Chip Wafers for Defect Improvement and Polishing Removal Rate Response.

Chemical mechanical planarization (CMP) is a wafer-surface-polishing planarization technique based on a wet procedure that combines chemical and mechanical forces to fully flatten materials for semiconductors to be mounted on the wafer surface. The achievement of devices of a small nano-size with few defects and good wafer yields is essential in enabling IC chip manufacturers to enhance their profits and become more competitive. The CMP process is applied to produce many IC generations of nanometer node, or those of even narrower line widths, for a better performance and manufacturing feasibility. Slurry is a necessary supply for CMP. The most critical component in slurry is an abrasive particle which affects the removal rates, uniformity, defects, and removal selectivity for the materials on the wafer surface. The polishing abrasive is the source of mechanical force. Conventional CMP abrasives consist of colloidal silica, fume silica or other inorganic polishing particles in the slurries. We were the first to systematically study nanoparticles of the polymer type applied in CMP, and to compare traditional inorganic and polymer nanoparticles in terms of polishing performance. In particular, the polymer nanoparticle size, shape, solid content dosing ratio, and molecular types were examined. The polishing performance was measured for the polishing removal rates, total defect counts, and uniformity. We found that the polymer nanoparticles significantly improved the total defect counts and uniformity, although the removal rates were lower than the rates obtained using inorganic nanoparticles. However, the lower removal rates of the polymer nanoparticles are acceptable due to the thinner film materials used for smaller IC device nodes, which may be below 10 nm. We also found that the physical properties of polymer nanoparticles, in terms of their size, shape, and different types of copolymer molecules, cause differences in the polishing performance. Meanwhile, we used statistical analysis software to analyze the data on the polishing removal rates and defect counts. This method helps to determine the most suitable polymer nanoparticle for use as a slurry abrasive, and improves the reliability trends for defect counts.

Towards the sustainable elimination of gambiense human African trypanosomiasis in Côte d'Ivoire using an integrated approach.

BACKGROUND: Human African trypanosomiasis is a parasitic disease caused by trypanosomes among which Trypanosoma brucei gambiense is responsible for a chronic form (gHAT) in West and Central Africa. Its elimination as a public health problem (EPHP) was targeted for 2020. Côte d'Ivoire was one of the first countries to be validated by WHO in 2020 and this was particularly challenging as the country still reported around a hundred cases a year in the early 2000s. This article describes the strategies implemented including a mathematical model to evaluate the reporting results and infer progress towards sustainable elimination. METHODS: The control methods used combined both exhaustive and targeted medical screening strategies including the follow-up of seropositive subjects- considered as potential asymptomatic carriers to diagnose and treat cases- as well as vector control to reduce the risk of transmission in the most at-risk areas. A mechanistic model was used to estimate the number of underlying infections and the probability of elimination of transmission (EoT) was met between 2000-2021 in two endemic and two hypo-endemic health districts. RESULTS: Between 2015 and 2019, nine gHAT cases were detected in the two endemic health districts of Bouaflé and Sinfra in which the number of cases/10,000 inhabitants was far below 1, a necessary condition for validating EPHP. Modelling estimated a slow but steady decline in transmission across the health districts, bolstered in the two endemic health districts by the introduction of vector control. The decrease in underlying transmission in all health districts corresponds to a high probability that EoT has already occurred in Côte d'Ivoire. CONCLUSION: This success was achieved through a multi-stakeholder and multidisciplinary one health approach where research has played a major role in adapting tools and strategies to this large epidemiological transition to a very low prevalence. This integrated approach will need to continue to reach the verification of EoT in Côte d'Ivoire targeted by 2025.

Health economic evaluation of strategies to eliminate gambiense human African trypanosomiasis in the Mandoul disease focus of Chad.

Human African trypanosomiasis, caused by the gambiense subspecies of Trypanosoma brucei (gHAT), is a deadly parasitic disease transmitted by tsetse. Partners worldwide have stepped up efforts to eliminate the disease, and the Chadian government has focused on the previously high-prevalence setting of Mandoul. In this study, we evaluate the economic efficiency of the intensified strategy that was put in place in 2014 aimed at interrupting the transmission of gHAT, and we make recommendations on the best way forward based on both epidemiological projections and cost-effectiveness. In our analysis, we use a dynamic transmission model fit to epidemiological data from Mandoul to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of combinations of active screening, improved passive screening (defined as an expansion of the number of health posts capable of screening for gHAT), and vector control activities (the deployment of Tiny Targets to control the tsetse vector). For cost-effectiveness analyses, our primary outcome is disease burden, denominated in disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), and costs, denominated in 2020 US$. Although active and passive screening have enabled more rapid diagnosis and accessible treatment in Mandoul, the addition of vector control provided good value-for-money (at less than $750/DALY averted) which substantially increased the probability of reaching the 2030 elimination target for gHAT as set by the World Health Organization. Our transmission modelling and economic evaluation suggest that the gains that have been made could be maintained by passive screening. Our analysis speaks to comparative efficiency, and it does not take into account all possible considerations; for instance, any cessation of ongoing active screening should first consider that substantial surveillance activities will be critical to verify the elimination of transmission and to protect against the possible importation of infection from neighbouring endemic foci.

Impact of comorbidities on the serological response to COVID-19 vaccination in a Taiwanese cohort.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: Vaccination against severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) is one of the best policies to control COVID-19 pandemic. The serological response to COVID-19 vaccination in Taiwanese patients with different comorbidities is elusive. METHODS: Uninfected subjects who received 3 doses of mRNA vaccines (BNT162b2 [Pfizer-BioNTech, BNT] and mRNA-1273 [Moderna]), viral vector-based vaccines (ChAdOx1-S (AZD1222, AZ) or protein subunit vaccines (Medigen COVID-19 vaccine) were prospectively enrolled. The SARS-CoV-2-IgG spike antibody level was determined within three months after the 3rd dose of vaccination. The Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) was applied to determine the association between vaccine titers and underlying comorbidities. RESULTS: A total of 824 subjects were enrolled in the current study. The proportions of CCI scores of 0-1, 2-3 and > 4 were 52.8% (n = 435), 31.3% (n = 258) and 15.9% (n = 131), respectively. The most commonly used vaccination combination was AZ-AZ-Moderna (39.2%), followed by Moderna-Moderna-Moderna (27.8%). The mean vaccination titer was 3.11 log BAU/mL after a median of 48 days after the 3rd dose. Factors associated with potentially effective neutralization capacity (IgG level ≥ 4160 AU/mL) included age ≥ 60 years (odds ratio [OR]/95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.50/0.34-0.72, P < 0.001), female sex (OR/CI: 1.85/1.30-2.63, P = 0.001), Moderna-Moderna-based vaccination (compared to AZ-AZ-based vaccination, OR/CI: 6.49/3.90-10.83, P < 0.001), BNT-BNT-based vaccination (compared to AZ-AZ-based vaccination, OR/CI: 7.91/1.82-34.3, P = 0.006) and a CCI score ≥ 4 (OR/CI: 0.53/0.34-0.82, P = 0.004). There was a decreasing trend in antibody titers with increasing CCI scores (trend P < 0.001). Linear regression analysis revealed that higher CCI scores (ß: - 0.083; 95% CI: - 0.094-0.011, P = 0.014) independently correlated with low IgG spike antibody levels. CONCLUSIONS: Subjects with more comorbidities had a poor serological response to 3 doses of COVID-19 vaccination.

A people-centered decentralized outreach model toward HCV micro-elimination in hyperendemic areas: COMPACT study in SARS Co-V2 pandemic.

OBJECTIVES: Gaps in linkage-to-care remain the barriers toward hepatitis C virus (HCV) elimination in the directly-acting-antivirals (DAA) era, especially during SARS Co-V2 pandemics. We established an outreach project to target HCV micro-elimination in HCV-hyperendemic villages. METHODS: The COMPACT provided "door-by-door" screening by an "outreach HCV-checkpoint team" and an "outreach HCV-care team" for HCV diagnosis, assessment and DAA therapy in Chidong/Chikan villages between 2019 and 2021. Participants from neighboring villages served as Control group. RESULTS: A total of 5731 adult residents participated in the project. Anti-HCV prevalence rate was 24.0% (886/3684) in Target Group and 9.5% (194/2047) in Control group (P < 0.001). The HCV-viremic rates among anti-HCV-positive subjects were 42.7% and 41.2%, respectively, in Target and Control groups. After COMPACT engagement, 80.4% (304/378) HCV-viremic subjects in the Target group were successfully linked-to-care, and Control group (70% (56/80), P = 0.039). The rates of link-to-treatment and SVR12 were comparable between Target (100% and 97.4%, respectively) and Control (100% and 96.4%) groups. The community effectiveness was 76.4% in the COMPACT campaign, significantly higher in Target group than in Control group (78.3% versus 67.5%, P = 0.039). The community effectiveness decreased significantly during SARS Co-V2 pandemic in Control group (from 81% to 31.8%, P < 0.001), but not in Target group (80.3% vs. 71.6%, P = 0.104). CONCLUSIONS: The outreach door-by-door screen strategy with decentralized onsite treatment programs greatly improved HCV care cascade in HCV-hyperendemic areas, a model for HCV elimination in high-risk marginalized communities in SARS Co-V2 pandemic.

A modelling assessment of short- and medium-term risks of programme interruptions for gambiense human African trypanosomiasis in the DRC.

Gambiense human African trypanosomiasis (gHAT) is a deadly vector-borne, neglected tropical disease found in West and Central Africa targeted for elimination of transmission (EoT) by 2030. The recent pandemic has illustrated how it can be important to quantify the impact that unplanned disruption to programme activities may have in achieving EoT. We used a previously developed model of gHAT fitted to data from the Democratic Republic of the Congo, the country with the highest global case burden, to explore how interruptions to intervention activities, due to e.g. COVID-19, Ebola or political instability, could impact progress towards EoT and gHAT burden. We simulated transmission and reporting dynamics in 38 regions within Kwilu, Mai Ndombe and Kwango provinces under six interruption scenarios lasting for nine or twenty-one months. Included in the interruption scenarios are the cessation of active screening in all scenarios and a reduction in passive detection rates and a delay or suspension of vector control deployments in some scenarios. Our results indicate that, even under the most extreme 21-month interruption scenario, EoT is not predicted to be delayed by more than one additional year compared to the length of the interruption. If existing vector control deployments continue, we predict no delay in achieving EoT even when both active and passive screening activities are interrupted. If passive screening remains as functional as in 2019, we expect a marginal negative impact on transmission, however this depends on the strength of passive screening in each health zone. We predict a pronounced increase in additional gHAT disease burden (morbidity and mortality) in many health zones if both active and passive screening were interrupted compared to the interruption of active screening alone. The ability to continue existing vector control during medical activity interruption is also predicted to avert a moderate proportion of disease burden.

Decision tree algorithm predicts hepatocellular carcinoma among chronic hepatitis C patients following viral eradication.

Successful eradication of the hepatitis C virus (HCV) cannot eliminate the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Next-generation RNA sequencing provides comprehensive genomic insights into the pathogenesis of HCC. Artificial intelligence has opened a new era in precision medicine. This study integrated clinical features and genetic biomarkers to establish a machine learning-based HCC model following viral eradication. A prospective cohort of 55 HCV patients with advanced fibrosis, who achieved a sustained virologic response after antiviral therapy, was enrolled. The primary outcome was the occurrence of HCC. The genomic signatures of peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMC) were determined by RNA sequencing at baseline and 24 weeks after end-of-treatment. Machine learning algorithms were implemented to extract the predictors of HCC. HCC occurred in 8 of the 55 patients, with an annual incidence of 2.7%. Pretreatment PBMC DEFA1B, HBG2, ADCY4, and posttreatment TAS1R3, ABCA3, and FOSL1 genes were significantly downregulated, while the pretreatment ANGPTL6 gene was significantly upregulated in the HCC group compared to that in the non-HCC group. A gene score derived from the result of the decision tree algorithm can identify HCC with an accuracy of 95.7%. Gene score = TAS1R3 (≥0.63 FPKM, yes/no = 0/1) + FOSL1 (≥0.27 FPKM, yes/no = 0/1) + ABCA3 (≥2.40 FPKM, yes/no = 0/1). Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that this gene score was the most important predictor of HCC (hazard ratio = 2.38, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.06-5.36, P = 0.036). Combining the gene score and fibrosis-4 index, a nomogram was constructed to predict the probability of HCC with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve up to 0.950 (95% CI = 0.888-1.000, P = 7.0 × 10-5). Decision curve analysis revealed that the nomogram had a net benefit in HCC detection. The calibration curve showed that the nomogram had optimal concordance between the predicted and actual HCC probabilities. In conclusion, down-regulated posttreatment PBMC TAS1R3, ABCA3, and FOSL1 expression were significantly correlated with HCC development after HCV eradication. Decision-tree-based algorithms can refine the assessment of HCC risk for personalized HCC surveillance.

Universal scaling of extinction time in stochastic evolutionary dynamics.

Evolutionary dynamics is well captured by the replicator equations when the population is infinite and well-mixed. However, the extinction dynamics is modified with finite and structured populations. Experiments on the non-transitive ecosystem containing three populations of bacteria found that the ecological stability sensitively depends on the spatial structure of the populations. Based on the Reference-Gamble-Birth algorithm, we use agent-based Monte Carlo simulations to investigate the extinction dynamics in the rock-paper-scissors ecosystem with finite and structured populations. On the fully-connected network, the extinction time in stable and unstable regimes falls into two universal functions when plotted with the rescaled variables. On the two dimensional grid, the spatial structure changes the transition boundary between stable and unstable regimes but doesn't change its extinction trend. The finding of universal scaling in extinction dynamics is unexpected, and may provide a powerful method to classify different evolutionary dynamics into universal classes.

Baseline Circulating miR-125b Levels Predict a High FIB-4 Index Score in Chronic Hepatitis B Patients after Nucleos(t)ide Analog Treatment.

The regulatory role of microRNAs (miRNAs) in HBV-associated HCC pathogenesis has been reported previously. This study aimed to investigate the association between serum miR-125b and liver fibrosis progression in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients after nucleos(t)ide analog (NA) treatment. Baseline serum miR-125b levels and other relevant laboratory data were measured for 124 patients who underwent 12-month NA therapy. Post-12-month NA therapy, serum miR-125, platelet, AST, and ALT levels were measured again for post-treatment FIB-4 index calculation. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to identify independent risk factors for a higher post-treatment FIB-4 index. Results showed that baseline miR-125b levels were inversely correlated with the post-treatment FIB-4 index (ρ = −0.2130, p = 0.0082). In logistic regression analyses, age (OR = 1.17, p < 0.0001), baseline platelet level (OR = 0.98, p = 0.0032), and ALT level (OR = 1.00, p = 0.0241) were independent predictors of FIB-index > 2.9 post-12-month treatment. The baseline miR-125b level was not significantly associated with a higher post-treatment FIB-4 index (p = 0.8992). In 59 patients receiving entecavir (ETV) monotherapy, the alternation of serum miR-125b in 12 months and age were substantially associated with a higher post-treatment FIB-4 index (>2.9), suggesting that miR-125b is a reliable biomarker for detecting early liver fibrosis under specific anti-HBV NA treatments (e.g., ETV).

Effects of Achieving SVR on Clinical Characteristics and Surgical Outcomes in Patients Who Developed Early-Stage HCV-Related Hepatocellular Carcinoma and Received Curative Resection: Preoperative versus Postoperative SVR.

The high accessibility to healthcare and increasing awareness of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surveillance after sustained virologic response (SVR) to HCV treatment allow early detection of operable HCC in Taiwan. However, the effects of achieving SVR on patient characteristics and surgical outcomes after curative resection remain elusive. We aimed to compare the clinical presentation and postoperative prognosis among patients with early-stage HCV-related HCC and different viral status. We retrospectively analyzed 208 patients with BCLC stage 0 or A-HCC, including 44 patients who remained HCV viremic, 90 patients who developed HCC after achieving SVR (post-SVR HCC), and 74 patients who subsequently achieved SVR after resection. Patients with post-SVR HCC had a lower degree of hepatitis and better liver function than those who achieved SVR or remained viremic after resection. Notably, 75.6% of patients with post-SVR HCC did not have cirrhosis. Patients with post-SVR HCC and those achieving SVR after resection exhibited comparable recurrence rates and recurrence-free survival, while patients with persistent viremia had the worst surgical outcomes. We concluded that patients with post-SVR HCC had a better liver function but similar surgical outcomes compared with patients who achieved SVR after resection. The low prevalence of cirrhosis in patients with post-SVR HCC highlights the importance of regular surveillance after SVR.

Advantage of clinical colchicine concentration to promote sorafenib or regorafenib anti-cancer effects on hepatocellular carcinoma.

The advantage of colchicine to promote sorafenib or regorafenib anti-cancer effects on hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) was investigated. Four primary cultured HCC cell lines (S103, S143, S160, S176) were studied by clinically achievable plasma sorafenib (5, 10 µg/mL), regorafenib (2, 4 µg/mL) and colchicine (4 ng/mL) concentrations. Sorafenib and regorafenib target genes and cancer stem cell markers (NANOG, POU5F1) were selected for experiments. Colchicine inhibited proliferation in all cell lines. Sorafenib inhibited proliferation only in S143 (5 µg/mL). Combined colchicine with sorafenib reversed the sorafenib effect on cellular proliferation from promotive to inhibitory in S103, and demonstrated anti-proliferative effects on other cell lines. Regorafenib inhibited proliferation in S103 (2 µg/mL), S176 (2 µg/mL) and S160 (4 µg/mL). Combined colchicine with regorafenib demonstrated equal or stronger anti-proliferative effects than regorafenib alone in all cell lines except S160. Combined colchicine obliterated or reduced the number of up-regulated target genes induced by sorafenib, and demonstrated equal or increased number of down-regulated target genes as compared with regorafenib alone. However, combined colchicine with regorafenib increased one up-regulated target gene in three cell lines. Colchicine obliterated or decreased the magnitude of up-regulated NANOG induced by sorafenib (S103, S143, S176) or regorafenib (S143), and combined with regorafenib could down-regulate NANOG (S160, S176). Adding colchicine to sorafenib or regorafenib showed inconsistent influence on POU5F1 expression as compared with sorafenib or regorafenib alone. The above results suggest that the anti-cancer effects of combined sorafenib with colchicine may be better than sorafenib alone. Colchicine may be added to regorafenib non-responders.

Modelling to infer the role of animals in gambiense human African trypanosomiasis transmission and elimination in the DRC.

Gambiense human African trypanosomiasis (gHAT) has been targeted for elimination of transmission (EoT) to humans by 2030. Whilst this ambitious goal is rapidly approaching, there remain fundamental questions about the presence of non-human animal transmission cycles and their potential role in slowing progress towards, or even preventing, EoT. In this study we focus on the country with the most gHAT disease burden, the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), and use mathematical modelling to assess whether animals may contribute to transmission in specific regions, and if so, how their presence could impact the likelihood and timing of EoT. By fitting two model variants-one with, and one without animal transmission-to the human case data from 2000-2016 we estimate model parameters for 158 endemic health zones of the DRC. We evaluate the statistical support for each model variant in each health zone and infer the contribution of animals to overall transmission and how this could impact predicted time to EoT. We conclude that there are 24/158 health zones where there is substantial to decisive statistical support for some animal transmission. However-even in these regions-we estimate that animals would be extremely unlikely to maintain transmission on their own. Animal transmission could hamper progress towards EoT in some settings, with projections under continuing interventions indicating that the number of health zones expected to achieve EoT by 2030 reduces from 68/158 to 61/158 if animal transmission is included in the model. With supplementary vector control (at a modest 60% tsetse reduction) added to medical screening and treatment interventions, the predicted number of health zones meeting the goal increases to 147/158 for the model including animal transmission. This is due to the impact of vector reduction on transmission to and from all hosts.